Ensemble forecasts of air quality in eastern China – Part 2: Evaluation of the MarcoPolo–Panda prediction system, version 1

An operational multimodel forecasting system for air quality has been developed to provide air quality services for urban areas of China. The initial forecasting system included seven state-of-the-art computational models developed and executed in Europe and China (CHIMERE, IFS, EMEP MSC-W, WRF-Chem-MPIM, WRF-Chem-SMS, LOTOS-EUROS, and SILAMtest). Several other models joined the prediction system recently, but are not considered in the present analysis. In addition to the individual models, a simple multimodel ensemble was constructed by deriving statistical quantities such as the median and the mean of the predicted concentrations.

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Author Petersen, Anna Katinka
Brasseur, Guy P.
Bouarar, Idir
Flemming, Johannes
Gauss, Michael
Jiang, Fei
Kouznetsov, Rostislav
Kranenburg, Richard
Mijling, Bas
Peuch, Vincent-Henri
Pommier, Matthieu
Segers, Arjo
Sofiev, Mikhail
Timmermans, Renske
van der A, Ronald
Walters, Stacy
Xie, Ying
Xu, Jianming
Zhou, Guangqiang
Publisher UCAR/NCAR - Library
Publication Date 2019-04-02T00:00:00
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) Not Assigned
Alternate Identifier N/A
Resource Version N/A
Topic Category geoscientificInformation
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Metadata Date 2023-08-18T19:17:50.061759
Metadata Record Identifier edu.ucar.opensky::articles:22454
Metadata Language eng; USA
Suggested Citation Petersen, Anna Katinka, Brasseur, Guy P., Bouarar, Idir, Flemming, Johannes, Gauss, Michael, Jiang, Fei, Kouznetsov, Rostislav, Kranenburg, Richard, Mijling, Bas, Peuch, Vincent-Henri, Pommier, Matthieu, Segers, Arjo, Sofiev, Mikhail, Timmermans, Renske, van der A, Ronald, Walters, Stacy, Xie, Ying, Xu, Jianming, Zhou, Guangqiang. (2019). Ensemble forecasts of air quality in eastern China – Part 2: Evaluation of the MarcoPolo–Panda prediction system, version 1. UCAR/NCAR - Library. http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7j67kzd. Accessed 19 July 2025.

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