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A mechanistically credible, poleward shift in warm-season precipitation...
Global and regional climate model ensembles project that the annual cycle of rainfall over the southern Great Plains (SGP) will amplify by midcentury. Models indicate that warm-...- publication PDF
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Estimating the fraction of winter orographic precipitation produced under...
Annual precipitation increases of 10% or more are often quoted for the impact of winter orographic cloud seeding; however, establishing the basis for such values is problematic...- publication PDF
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Joint impact of North and South Pacific extratropical atmospheric...
Previous studies have indicated that boreal winter subtropical and extratropical sea surface pressure (SLP) anomalies over both the North and South Pacific are significantly...- publication PDF
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A unified modeling approach to climate system prediction
There is a new perspective of a continuum of prediction problems, with a blurring of the distinction between short-term predictions and long-term climate projections. At the...- publication PDF
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Engineering Report on a Dropsonde for Measuring Vertical Wind Velocity in...
This report describes a special dropsonde for measuring and mapping the vertical wind inside thunderstorms. One the possible ways of measuring vertical wind is to drop...- publication PDF
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The ENEA-REG system (v1.0), a multi-component regional Earth system model:...
In this study, a new regional Earth system model is developed and applied to the Med-CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment) region. The ENEA-REG system is...- publication PDF
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Future trends in stratosphere-to-troposphere transport in CCMI models
One of the key questions in the air quality and climate sciences is how tropospheric ozone concentrations will change in the future. This will depend on two factors: changes in...- publication PDF
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Development of a large-sample watershed-scale hydrometeorological data set...
We present a community data set of daily forcing and hydrologic response data for 671 small- to medium-sized basins across the contiguous United States (median basin size of 336...- publication PDF
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Reexamining the relationship between climate sensitivity and the Southern...
Recent efforts to narrow the spread in equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) across global climate models have focused on identifying observationally based constraints, which...- publication PDF
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Effects of distant organized convection on forecasts of widespread clear-air...
Two cases of observed widespread moderate-or-greater (MOG) clear-air turbulence (CAT) in different synoptic patterns are investigated using a nested high-resolution NWP model....- publication PDF
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An algorithm for detecting the Chesapeake Bay breeze from mesoscale NWP model output
A novel algorithm is developed for detecting and classifying the Chesapeake Bay breeze and similar water-body breezes in output from mesoscale numerical weather prediction (NWP)...- publication PDF
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The effect of rapid adjustments to halocarbons and N2O on radiative forcing
Rapid adjustments occur after initial perturbation of an external climate driver (e.g., CO2) and involve changes in, e.g. atmospheric temperature, water vapour and clouds,...- publication PDF
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A low upper limit on the subsurface rise speed of solar active regions
Magnetic field emerges at the surface of the Sun as sunspots and active regions. This process generates a poloidal magnetic field from a rising toroidal flux tube; it is a...- publication PDF
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The sensitivity of the fitch wind farm parameterization to a...
Wind plant wake impacts can be estimated with a number of simulation methodologies, each with its own fidelity and sensitivity to model inputs. In turbine-free mesoscale...- publication PDF
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The acidity of atmospheric particles and clouds
Acidity, defined as pH, is a central component of aqueous chemistry. In the atmosphere, the acidity of condensed phases (aerosol particles, cloud water, and fog droplets)...- publication PDF
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GRASS: Distinguishing planet-induced doppler signatures from GRanulation...
Owing to recent advances in radial-velocity instrumentation and observation techniques, the detection of Earth-mass planets around Sun-like stars may soon be primarily limited...- publication PDF
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Updated emission factors from diffuse combustion sources in sub-Saharan...
Diffuse emission sources outside of kitchen areas are poorly understood, and measurements of their emission factors (EFs) are sparse for regions of sub-Saharan Africa. Thirty-...- publication PDF
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Climate model intercomparisons: Preparing for the next phase
Since 1995, the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) has coordinated climate model experiments involving multiple international modeling teams. Through CMIP, climate...- publication PDF
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Evaluation of the WRF-Urban Modeling System coupled to Noah and Noah-MP Land...
We have augmented the existing capabilities of the integrated Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-urban modeling system by coupling three urban canopy models (UCMs) available...- publication PDF
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Large contribution of biomass burning emissions to ozone throughout the...
Ozone is the third most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas after carbon dioxide and methane but has a larger uncertainty in its radiative forcing, in part because of...- publication PDF